Turn any event into a fixed-odds market, automatically.
A prediction market lets players bet on the outcome of a real-world event at fixed odds. neoPredict™ prices events across politics, finance, weather, entertainment, sports and esports, and tech/AI milestones, with an LLM research layer that drafts, prices, and settles markets end to end and publishes 250+ a month. Offered only where your licence and category are cleared.
ECB cuts rates at Sept meeting
61¢Bitcoin closes above $150K by Jan '27
34¢Coalition confidence vote passes
72¢Team Vitality wins CS Major
22¢250+
Markets generated / month
6
Category verticals
11 min
Median trigger-to-publish time
48hr
Standard dispute window
Fixed-odds event betting
neoPredict prices every market itself and takes the other side of every bet, on the same risk model as a sportsbook. There is no order book and no liquidity dependency. Probability comes from the pricing engine's own signal.
Politics
Elections, confidence votes, legislation, and appointments, resolved against official results.
Finance
Central bank decisions, macro prints, and index thresholds, resolved against published data.
Weather
Temperature, precipitation, and named-storm markets, resolved against national meteorological data.
Entertainment
Box office, awards, and chart outcomes, resolved against studio and industry-body figures.
Sports & esports
Outright and prop markets layered on top of your existing sportsbook trading room.
Tech & AI milestones
Model releases, benchmark results, and product launches, resolved against named technical sources.
An LLM research layer that writes the market
Every market starts as a draft: a question, explicit resolution criteria, named primary sources, and a settlement window, generated by a research model tracking scheduled events, breaking news, and structured data feeds. Drafts pass an automated compliance filter before publish. Flagged categories go to a human reviewer.
- LLM research layer drafts question, criteria, sources, and settlement window
- Automated compliance filter, human review on flagged categories
- 250+ markets generated and published per month
Will the ECB cut its deposit rate at the 10 Sep 2026 meeting?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if the ECB Governing Council announces a cut to the deposit facility rate at its scheduled 10 Sep 2026 press conference.
Primary sources
ECB Governing Council press release · Reuters Central Banking wire
Settlement window
Locks 09:00 UTC, 10 Sep 2026
Pricing
Yes 61¢ · No 39¢
Category-level margin, fixed odds, no liquidity dependency
neoPredict prices every market, so a single large position cannot move the book against itself the way it can on an exchange. Margin is set per category, so a risk team tunes one Politics setting instead of thousands of individual markets.
Correlated-market exposure controls
Markets tagged to the same underlying event (a rate decision, an election, a product launch) roll up into one net exposure figure for the risk desk, so aggregate liability is never hidden across a set of individually small markets.
Liquidity-free fixed odds
Probability moves on new signal from primary sources, so thin categories price as confidently as high-volume ones from the first bet onward.
Default category margin ranges
Every settlement traces back to a named source, twice
No single source settles a market alone. No settlement is final until a dispute window closes. No entry in the log can be edited, only appended to.
Step 1
Primary source publishes result
The named source fixed at market creation (a central bank release, an official results feed, a meteorological agency) reports the outcome.
Step 2
Dual-source confirmation
A second, independent source must corroborate before settlement can trigger. A single-source result holds the market open pending confirmation.
Step 3
Settlement computed & logged
Payout is computed and an entry appended to a hash-chained settlement log. Prior entries cannot be altered.
Step 4
48-hour dispute window
Operators and regulators can flag a settlement for review before it locks, with the full source trail attached to the ticket.
Step 5
Final lock & payout
The ledger entry finalises, funds release to player wallets, and the settlement becomes part of the permanent audit trail.
Guardrails enforced before a market is drafted
Jurisdiction and category clearance, integrity rules and responsible-gaming limits are checked at draft time, at publish time, and continuously while a market is live.
Jurisdiction whitelisting
Every market is scoped to the jurisdictions where its category and licence are cleared, and invisible everywhere else. No client-side filtering.
Prohibited categories
A standing exclusion list (self-harm, live casualty events, individual health outcomes) enforced before a draft reaches pricing.
Integrity rules
Markets on events an operator, employee, or named insider could influence are blocked automatically at the drafting stage.
RG limits
Deposit, loss, and stake limits from your existing responsible-gaming engine apply identically to prediction markets.
A standalone widget, or one more market type in your sportsbook
Launch neoPredict as a standalone product with its own widget and branding, or drop it in as an API module inside an existing sportsbook. It shares the same player wallet, KYC status, and responsible-gaming limits and settles through one ledger.
- Standalone widget: embed the catalogue and slip in any web or app surface
- API module: prediction markets appear as one more market type in your book
- Shared wallet, KYC, and RG limits, no second player record
{ "market_id": "mk_2C91AF", "question": "ECB cuts deposit rate at 10 Sep 2026 meeting", "yes_price": 0.61, "settlement_at": "2026-09-10T09:00:00Z", "status": "open"}A sample of what publishes on a given week
Every market below is drafted, priced, and scoped the same way: a named question, an explicit resolution rule, and a probability the pricing engine stands behind.
Will voter turnout exceed 64% in the 2026 Brazilian general election?
Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 before 1 Jan 2027?
Will snow be recorded at London Heathrow on 25 Dec 2026?
Will "Dune: Part Three" gross over $600M worldwide in its opening month?
Will Team Vitality win the 2026 CS Major?
Will a frontier lab announce a model passing a rigorous long-horizon agentic benchmark by Q4 2026?
Questions operators ask before running neoPredict
No. neoPredict is operator-priced, fixed-odds event betting, on the same risk model as a sportsbook. The operator sets the price and takes the other side of every bet. There is no order book, no matching engine, and no player-versus-player liquidity to manage.
See which event categories are cleared in your markets.
A 45-minute session with a solutions architect: your licence footprint, your existing sportsbook stack, and a live look at the markets neoPredict would publish this week.